Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.001183 0.001333 0.001483 0.001644 0.001811 0.001979 0.002160
2025-12-07 0.000956 0.001174 0.001398 0.001645 0.001906 0.002174 0.002467
2025-12-14 0.000753 0.001018 0.001299 0.001615 0.001956 0.002311 0.002705
2025-12-21 0.000630 0.000935 0.001268 0.001649 0.002068 0.002508 0.003001
2025-12-28 0.000488 0.000815 0.001186 0.001620 0.002104 0.002619 0.003201
2026-01-04 0.000389 0.000735 0.001141 0.001626 0.002174 0.002762 0.003431
2026-01-11 0.000295 0.000651 0.001084 0.001612 0.002217 0.002872 0.003622
2026-01-18 0.000218 0.000578 0.001034 0.001602 0.002260 0.002978 0.003806
2026-01-25 0.000132 0.000476 0.000941 0.001536 0.002236 0.003007 0.003902
2026-02-01 0.000078 0.000408 0.000885 0.001510 0.002254 0.003080 0.004044
2026-02-08 0.000044 0.000364 0.000856 0.001513 0.002304 0.003187 0.004221
2026-02-15 0.000024 0.000337 0.000847 0.001539 0.002379 0.003321 0.004427
2026-02-22 0.000008 0.000313 0.000854 0.001603 0.002518 0.003549 0.004763
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000256 0.000810 0.001600 0.002579 0.003691 0.005006
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000192 0.000745 0.001568 0.002604 0.003791 0.005203
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000162 0.000731 0.001600 0.002706 0.003979 0.005497
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000112 0.000672 0.001570 0.002730 0.004076 0.005688
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000081 0.000642 0.001576 0.002796 0.004219 0.005931
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000050 0.000600 0.001562 0.002836 0.004331 0.006136
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000027 0.000562 0.001551 0.002878 0.004444 0.006341
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000003 0.000491 0.001486 0.002849 0.004471 0.006446
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.000448 0.001460 0.002867 0.004553 0.006613
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.000425 0.001463 0.002922 0.004677 0.006826